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World Council for the Cedars Revolution

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Home arrow News Content arrow Blog arrow Blog Items arrow Intelligence arrow Weekend Intelligence Update - April 12, 2008
Weekend Intelligence Update - April 12, 2008 PDF Print E-mail
Written by STRATFOR   
Saturday, 12 April 2008

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Arab-Israeli conflict: There are tremendous crosscurrents in the region and no clear pattern developing. Rumors of war are intensifying but are contradictory. Some focus on Hezbollah and Israel, others on Syria, some on Iran. Israel will not be fighting all of these. Look for indicators that help clarify the situation. We can expect new revelations on the Sept. 7, 2007, airstrike on Syria. The claims will be interesting, but Israel’s motivations for reviving this issue at this time are far more interesting. If the Israelis back off on revealing information, that will be noteworthy as well. We are in an unstable and opaque situation.

Of note is the idea that Hezbollah must prepare a retaliatory attack for the death of Imad Mughniyah. That would kick off a round of fighting that Hezbollah cannot be looking forward to. There are all sorts of rumors that this assassination was not an Israeli action but a Syrian one. This could be Israeli disinformation, could be Hezbollah justifying sitting on its hands or could be true. It would be good to get increased clarity on this.

By Stratfor. This Report Expresses the views of Stratfor

The opinions expressed in this article are the author's and do not necessarily represent those of CRNews.

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Last Updated ( Saturday, 12 April 2008 )
 
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