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Tuesday - Thursday January 23-25, 2007

The survival of the Siniora government depends on the following actions to be taken by Siniora himself IMMEDIATELY. ANY DELAY WILL BE DETRIMENTAL TO THE SURVIVAL OF SINIORA, THE CEDARS REVOLUTION. Freedom, Democracy and Independence of Lebanon are at stake today.

1. PM Siniora must immediately call for a meeting with top Army Commanders and Suspend from Duty those in the Military who did not uphold the allegiance to the Lebanese State on Tuesday. A complete investigation should be ensued. At the same time, Medal of Honors should be awarded to those who's allegiance was The Lebanon First.

2. An emergency meeting should take place immediately between the cabinet and the Lebanese Army Commanders - to discuss securing the Government and the Civil Society of Lebanon from a surprise attack. Any defined weaknesses should immediately be brought to the attention of UNIFIL. SINIORA MUST ASK THE UN TO HELP SECURE THE STATE.

What is at stake - A Surprise Attack on The Government in a Coup de tat. Most of the leading analyst agree this is not only a possibility but very real indeed.

And lets not forget that Iran's Ahmadinejad - on Tuesday while meeting with the Syrian FM - directly tied events in Lebanon today to a wider plan aimed at Israel's destruction. Most Lebanese don't seek war, don't want to be dragged into regional conflicts, or even international conflicts. A Majority of the Lebanese seek Horriyeh, Siyadeh, Istiqlal (Freedom, Sovereignty, Independence), and Haqiqa, Horriyeh, Wahdeh wataniyeh (Truth, Freedom, National unity) for all Lebanese.

THIS IS A CALL TO ACTION TO EVERY LEBANESE IN LEBANON AND THE DIASPORA - WE MUST INSIST THAT PRIME MINISTER SINIORA IMPLEMENT #1 and #2 ABOVE.

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Current Concern in the Lebanon

I. Iranian / Syrian / Hezbollah - implements first phase of its offensive to overthrow the democratically elected government of Siniora

PHASE 1 - Information Gathering!

I. Offensive starts out on two fronts

     1. Information Gathering, 2. Information Warfare

1. Information Gathering - Hizbullah first priority is to test the waters. That is what we have witnessed over the past 3 days. 

Challenge: TWO Main Challenges

A. What will the Lebanese Army do? Can we count on Lebanese Army in stepping aside, not defending the nation, being disloyal to Lebanon? and even helping to overthrow this democratically elected government?

B. What will the Sunni's do - can we break up March 14 - keep the Sunni's / Druze out - and pit the Christians against Christians.

C. A smaller challenge was to test out new tactics and strategies implemented and used for the first time here, i.e. communication systems of sms messaging of orders, intel gathering on the majority.

Result:

A. Manipulation of Lebanese Army effective to a certain extent. Some reports of Lack of action noted, Some reports of refusing to open roads or using delay tactics noted, Some reports of actually helping noted. But, also, we must note that there are also reports of a Majority of very professional Army troops that are loyal to Lebanon First. We must commend these Professional Troops for their service to the ALL of Lebanon. If Lebanon survives this round it will be in big part because of the loyalty of these professional solders. Lebanon Must Come First. Respecting the Rule of Law Must be a Priority to each and every Lebanese - especially those in charge of security.

B. Sunni's did not step aside, that was seen the first day of this insurrection - 23rd Jan. 2007, in the North of the country where fighting broke out between “Bab-Al-Tabbaneh” (Sunni majority) and “Ba’l-Mihsin” (Alawite majority) in the city of Tripoli in northern Lebanon (Bilal Al-Hayik - a Sunni was killed on Tuesday). This was also noted today 25 Jan. 2007 at Beirut Arab University. The March 14 Movement, The Cedars Revolution, The Free Shi'ite Movement, Those who were Undecided and the innocent civilians of Lebanon stand Very Strong, Especially at a time when Aoun is losing his members (reports of at least 30% so far plus most of the undecided) and when Hezbollah is also losing the war of public opinion very fast.

2. Information Warfare - Manipulation of the minds

The Opposition is mastering the use of the media and news outlets of Al Manar, Al Akhbar, Al Diyar and others.

This type of warfare has been effective in manipulating the minds of the opponents, and innocent citizens. As we saw in the last summer war - lots of disinformation was thrown out - a leading example is the one that stated israeli secret communications were intercepted - which later turned out to cause a response.

So, here - the media is being used to manipulate the masses for a predetermined response. 

Hizbullah stated the following before the strife:

- We will not destroy any private or public properties
- People of Beirut are like family and we will not invade their region
- It will be a peaceful movement

Even while the country sustained the brunt of his strategy, he assured that Hizbullah’s commitment vis-a-vis the opposition was a “moral, political and national commitment”.

But what did we really witness? As a Leading newspaper said: To Hizbullah a Thank You for your men were holding citizens hostages and preventing them from seeking their livelihood, the employees from reaching their places of work, the sick from reaching the hospitals and the children from reaching their schools, Thank You Hizbullah.

As one Shiite woman, Nasra Jaafar, a 29-year-old accountant, said in referring to Tuesday's protests "I never thought they would behave in such a way," which left three people dead, injured more than 170 and wreaked havoc on roads and highways around the country.

"I was a supporter. Before. (Hezbollah leaders) acted in a more transparent way. But I am very much against what they did yesterday — destroying roads, traffic lights and everything else,"

“In a message to the Lebanese people, the Mufti of the Republic Sheikh Muhammad Rashid Qabbani, said that: “What the country is witnessing in terms of vandalism, mayhem and the violation of security, public safety and properties has surpassed the imagination and has exceeded all the limits of public freedoms. This has started to [prefigure] serious consequences, the most dangerous of which are those affecting civil peace”… He then reiterated that: “The attempt to topple the government through the street and the besieging of Beirut through violence, threats and oppression will not be allowed to pass by that easily regardless of the price, as God is my witness”.

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SOLUTION TO CURRENT PROBLEM

1. UN SECURITY COUNCIL RESOLUTION UNDER CHAPTER 7 to secure the state, prevent arms flow into the Country from Syria, disarm all militias in Lebanon.

2. International community to continue to support this democratically elected government and step up pressures against Iran and Syria.

3. The Syrian border with Lebanon must be closed. Monitors must be in place to prevent Iranian/Syrian supply of Militias in Lebanon.

4. No return to dialogue with any group that operates a state within a state, holding arms and calling for civil strife, disrespecting the democratic institutions and rule of law. Lay down your arms must be a precondition to any dialogue. No dialogue can take place with one group armed more then the Lebanese army and the other groups not armed.

5. Anyone or group trying to overthrow the democratically elected government of PM Siniora should be delt with severly under the law. This is clearly treason against the democratically elected state.

6. Immediate Parliament session - cases brought forward, the body discusses it, votes on it - live with the results.

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